‘What a beautiful day!’ Sure, but what about ...?
by Lucie R. Willsie Associate Editor
Feb 12, 2012 | 272 views | 0 0 comments | 3 3 recommendations | email to a friend | print
That’s what everybody’s been saying ... “What a beautiful day!”

It has made such an impression, professor Renée Lastra even translated the phrase in my Spanish class. The phrase is: “Que día más hermoso!” Or something like that.

But what I really am wondering about is what is going to happen in the future? Not a far distant and murky one, but one only about four to six months away. Actually, according to some anonymous bloggers, it may only take a few weeks to get payback for all this gorgeous weather.

In other words, does a mild winter mean we are destined to have a scorching, cruelly hot summer? Are we going to have to pay for all this wonderful weather not too far down the road?

Most seem to be suspiciously weary of what is to come, as if all the weathermen have gotten together in some sort of global conspiracy and created a weather prank, of sorts.

It could happen!

The majority of the predictions do bode ill, however.

A soggier than normal spring with a blisteringly hot summer awaits all of us who have enjoyed a beautifully mild winter is what seems to be in most doomsayers’ thoughts.

While researching the answer to this apparently age-old question, having been bandied about for decades, maybe even centuries, this debate as to whether or not we humans have to eventually pay for enjoying unseasonably beautiful weather, I came to one rock solid conclusion — everyone has a different answer and nobody knows for sure.

For example, according to Mike Morrison, chief meteorologist from Albany, Ga., a mild winter does not — let me repeat, NOT — inevitably result in a hotter summer.

But, that’s exactly what we are going to get anyway, apparently according to this same weatherman. A June, July and August with temps hotter than normal is what we’ll probably get.

Huh?

A mild winter will not lead to a hotter than normal summer, which is what we’ll have this year, and the same weather as last year.

Huh?, I say again. Huh?

Yep. That’s what the report is. Although one doesn’t necessarily lead to the other, most of us will experience a hotter than normal summer.

Well, my first question is: Why?

Well, Morrison doesn’t explain in the report I found when I Googled “weather predictions 2012 mike morrison meteorologist albany ga.”

It’s just that it’s gonna happen — again.

I’ve also seen the following predictions as well.

Winter will be much drier than normal with temperatures near normal in the South, on average. The coldest periods will be in the early and late parts of December, January and February. Snowfall will be limited to the North.

April and May will be slightly warmer and wetter than normal. Summer will be cooler and rainier than normal with the hottest periods in early and mid-June and mid-July. September and October will be cooler and drier than normal.

Well, frankly, nothing new here. These “predictions” sound more like what weather would normally be like, don’t they?Oh, my goodness! I almost forgot!! I almost forgot one of the most famous weathermen of all!

How could I forget good old Punxsutawney (Pa.) Phil. He’s been predicting the weather for decades now — since, oh my goodness — since at least 1890 or 1897. Somewhere in there. Do you believe that? And do you believe he’s been right less than 40 percent of the time? Not too good an average, I must say, Phil.

Just a few days ago, Phil saw his shadow and predicted six more weeks of winter.Between you and me, I wonder, did ol’ Phil just take a sneak peak at the calendar before his “prediction?”

OK. A tad confused. Phil didn’t really predict what kind of weather we’re going to have, just that winter will last another six more weeks.

Well, I could have told you that myself! So, no real weather prediction here.OK, let’s move on. Let’s take another look somewhere else for our weather future.

Let me see, what else I can find ...?

The Farmer’s Almanac is supposedly accurate between 80 to 85 percent of the time. It predicts a milder but wetter winter for us here in Tennessee and a wetter than normal spring and summer.

But I also found a weekly prediction for our area, as follows:

February 2012:

4-7/Mild days, cool nights;

8-11/Wet snow Tennessee, western North Carolina; wintry mix northern Mississippi, Alabama. Elsewhere, rain, then clearing;

12-15/Wet weather, then fair skies, milder;

16-19/Unsettled;

20-23/Wet snow Tennessee, parts of North Carolina, then fair. Elsewhere, windy/rainy, then clearing;

24-29/Showery, then fair, milder.

March 2012:1-3/Fair, pleasantly mild;

4-7/Stormy, then return to fair weather;

8-11/Showery along Gulf Coast; fair elsewhere;

12-15/Mainly clear, quite mild;

16-19/Some rain, mainly southern, central Florida;

20-23/Fair;

24-27/Showers, then fair, quite mild;

28-31/Fair, warm, turning unsettled.

April 2012:1-3/Thunderstorms, then fair;

4-7/Tranquil;

8-11/Showery, then fair. Showers may fall in Augusta for the final round of golf’s Masters Tournament;

12-15/Rainy, windy, thundery;

16-19/Mostly fair;

20-23/Rains fall from Gulf Coast through Carolinas, then fair skies;

24-27/Pleasant;

28-30/Thunderstorms for Southeast.

May 2012:1-3/Fair;

4-7/Scattered thunderstorms, then fair;

8-11/Dry, pleasant;

12-15/Thunderstorms from Tennessee east. Storms developing along Gulf Coast;

16-19/Considerably cloudy, chilly, with showery rains South;

20-23/Pleasant weather returns;

24-27/Thunderstorms, then clearing and cool;

28-31/Mostly fair.

June 2012:1-3/Scattered rain showers, then clearing.

Now we can all see just how accurate the Farmer’s Almanac is.But does this help anyone? Hope so.

I got this info for signing up for free on the Farmer’s Almanac website, but I’ll still have to wait about three months to see what it predicts for this summer’s weather.

I kept looking.

I’ve seen predictions that another extreme weather year like 2011 is also NOT out of the question.

AccuWeather has predicted more ice than snow for our section of the planet, especially from early to mid-season.

Ah-HA!

I hate to tell you guys over there at “Accu”Weather, but we’re either at or already past the mid-season mark. Spring will arrive on March 20 and that’s just five weeks and two days from today. So, I’m a-guessin’ youse guys have kinda missed the mark there. I mean here.

Now, don’t despair.

I did finally find an accurate way to predict the future weather.

I’m gonna just wait and look out the window.